Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.364641 0.398204 0.433947 0.474925 0.520706 0.570389 0.628537
2026-01-04 0.312251 0.359887 0.414067 0.480608 0.560613 0.654318 0.773265
2026-01-11 0.280120 0.334738 0.399688 0.483344 0.589284 0.720388 0.897126
2026-01-18 0.256472 0.315334 0.387849 0.484902 0.613140 0.779291 1.015023
2026-01-25 0.239106 0.301194 0.380036 0.489124 0.638752 0.840713 1.140858
2026-02-01 0.219561 0.282130 0.363593 0.479478 0.643518 0.872811 1.227568
2026-02-08 0.207342 0.271477 0.356981 0.481891 0.664176 0.927843 1.352408
2026-02-15 0.194797 0.259272 0.347036 0.478300 0.675152 0.968839 1.459369
2026-02-22 0.185523 0.250811 0.341464 0.480153 0.693719 1.022160 1.591046
2026-03-01 0.175044 0.239879 0.331477 0.474434 0.699803 1.055948 1.693488
2026-03-08 0.165269 0.229307 0.321228 0.467350 0.702790 1.084452 1.789342
2026-03-15 0.154445 0.216559 0.306935 0.452882 0.692515 1.089686 1.843646
2026-03-22 0.150110 0.213288 0.306797 0.460854 0.719969 1.161887 2.031350
2026-03-29 0.145439 0.209236 0.305191 0.466306 0.743597 1.229729 2.220168
2026-04-05 0.140493 0.204449 0.302086 0.468944 0.762381 1.290406 2.402754
2026-04-12 0.135680 0.199583 0.298516 0.470445 0.779091 1.348605 2.588042
2026-04-19 0.131765 0.195902 0.296589 0.474515 0.800609 1.417827 2.806649
2026-04-26 0.125416 0.188013 0.287356 0.465217 0.796558 1.436505 2.915517
2026-05-03 0.121782 0.184322 0.284830 0.467543 0.814487 1.500735 3.138136
2026-05-10 0.117297 0.179020 0.279310 0.464082 0.820903 1.541801 3.311850
2026-05-17 0.114054 0.175608 0.276789 0.465868 0.837643 1.606065 3.552422
2026-05-24 0.109729 0.170194 0.270555 0.460355 0.839275 1.637813 3.715295
2026-05-31 0.105438 0.164658 0.263844 0.453525 0.837660 1.662157 3.862544